Proviso
06 / STRATEGY TESTING

Look back.
With the rules intact.

A 90-day replay designed to show when an idea would have fired, what a stated fill model would have done, and how the result can be reproduced.

THESIS TRADING / PROVISO
90DAYS OF CONTEXT
VERSIONED DATAREPEATABLE TEST
01 / THE REPLAY REPORT

A result, with
its working shown.

01FIRING TIMES

When the idea held.

A chronological list of rule triggers, not just a single return figure.

02SIMULATED FILLS

The cost of an assumption.

Fill modelling around the mark with explicit slippage. Actual execution can differ.

03P&L

The resulting path.

An outcome tied to its input data, model, and fee assumptions.

04MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN

The difficult part of the path.

The peak-to-trough decline in the simulated series, not only the ending balance.

02 / REPRODUCIBILITY

Same inputs.
An inspectable identity.

SPECIFICATION+DATA SNAPSHOT IDS+TESTER VERSION→TEST ID

The test ID has a purpose.

The test identity uses SHA-256 of the rules, data snapshot identifiers, and tester version. A test can then be rerun against the same inputs instead of relying on an unrepeatable screenshot.

Coverage must be disclosed.

Historical coverage includes Hyperliquid candles, funding and open interest, Robinhood Chain pool history, and Fear & Greed. X-post replay is a later extension dependent on available data and cost.

03 / INTERPRETATION

History is evidence.
It is not a forecast.

Check the assumptions.

Confirm market availability, sampling, missing-data treatment, slippage, funding, fees, and how partial fills are modelled. These details can change the apparent result materially.

Check the failure cases.

A replay cannot promise execution in a fast move, guarantee liquidity, or remove liquidation risk. A rule that worked in one period may fail in another.

Keep it attributable.

Keep the rules, data snapshot identifiers, and tester version with the report. An outcome without its input history cannot be independently reproduced.

Prepare the question for history.

Choose a saved thesis and define the replay assumptions before submitting to a connected tester.

Open strategy tester